The results of a new Gallup poll released last week at the close of President Biden’s fifth quarter in office, revealing a dismal approval rating from constituents. The newest numbers show his approval ratings remain almost unchanged from fourth quarter, with a drop from 41.7% to 41.3% among U.S. adults polled.
President Biden enjoyed majority approval ratings during his first two quarters in office. Owing, however, to the disastrous U.S. pull-out from Afghanistan, a surge in new COVID cases, and a rapid rise in gas prices and inflation, Biden suffered a blow to public support, with only 41% of Americans approving of his job performance and 56% brandishing disapproval.
Notably, President Biden’s fifth quarter average is lower than any other elected president, expect that of President Donald Trump’s. The former president averaged 39.1% in his fifth quarter. Biden now joins former presidents Trump, Barack Obama, Ronald Reagan, and Jimmy Carter in minority approval ratings at this point in their terms in office.
Gallup analyst Jeffrey Jones suggests that it’s unlikely the President’s approval ratings will improve prior to this November’s midterm elections. “Typically, unpopular presidents’ parties have lost seats in midterm elections, with the number of seats lost usually much higher for presidents with job approval ratings below 50%.” President Trump remains the only president to see any gains in job approval ratings between fifth and seventh quarters.
Democrats will have to fight hard to maintain their slim majority in the House of Representatives and to win a majority in the Senate this fall. On the heels of consistently low approval ratings, former President Barack Obama visited the White House earlier this month as a show of support for his former vice president. The visit came in conjunction with the 12th anniversary celebration of the Affordable Care Act and Biden’s announcement of expansions to the legislation.
The White House’s response to the enduring conflict in Ukraine and historic rates of inflation are expected to play a role in who controls both houses of Congress. With consistently low approval ratings, President Biden looks to rally Democrats through the summer and early fall.